President Trump's political operation has gone all-in on the 2026 midterms. Three Trump-aligned super PACs — MAGA Inc., and two newly formed groups called No Going Back PAC and Safety and Affordability PAC — have reserved more than $150 million in television, streaming and digital ads over just the past two weeks, according to an NPR analysis of AdImpact data. The money is landing in states Republicans cannot afford to lose, and in a handful of House districts nobody expected to be competitive at all.

The two new PACs were both formed on September 1 by GOP operative Charles Gantt, with paperwork filed to the Federal Election Commission six minutes apart, The Philadelphia Inquirer reported. No Going Back PAC has booked roughly $95 million, two-thirds of it in Senate races, while Safety and Affordability PAC has reserved about $27 million focused on House contests. MAGA Inc. has kicked in millions more, including a fresh buy defending Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's Senate bid against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico.

The Money Math

The scale of the disparity is striking. Pro-Paxton ad reservations for September alone total more than $94 million, dwarfing the roughly $20 million backing Talarico in the same window — even though Talarico has out-raised Paxton in direct campaign contributions. In Ohio, more than $116 million is now locked in for the rest of the race. Zoomed out across the nine most competitive Senate contests, Republican candidates and allied groups have pledged over $557 million compared to Democrats' $343 million, with the GOP outspending Democrats in every one of those races except Georgia.

House Republicans are playing defense too, pouring money into districts Trump carried by wide margins in 2024 — Texas's 15th, Kentucky's 6th and Alabama's 2nd among them — a sign the party sees even safe-looking turf as vulnerable heading into November.

"The cavalry has come," Republican strategist Scott Jennings said, arguing the new money finally gives GOP candidates the resources to "make an actual argument" to voters.

Trump himself has framed the spending as just the opening wave, telling allies he has "close to $1 billion" banked in his super-PAC network and plans to funnel "$400 or $500 million" of it into the midterms before Election Day.

Democrats argue the money can't erase the political headwinds Republicans are facing. "Money can't change the weather," Democratic operative Jesse Ferguson said, pointing to voter frustration over gas prices, an unpopular war footing tied to the Iran conflict, and cost-of-living anxieties that have dogged the president's approval ratings all year. Talarico's campaign, for its part, dismissed the outside spending as dishonest, saying "billionaire-backed dark money groups are lying" because they fear his grassroots support.

With early voting set to begin in several states within weeks, the ad blitz is expected only to intensify. Whether a nine-figure cash advantage can offset a difficult national environment for the president's party is now the central question of the 2026 midterm cycle — and it will start playing out on television screens almost immediately.